Publication

To cite this publication: Kozhanov, Nikolay, ed. “Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine: Assessments, Implications, Prospects.” CIRS Policy Brief. Center for International and Regional Studies, Georgetown University in Qatar (2025).

This publication is the result of a research initiative organized by the Center for International and Regional Studies (CIRS) in collaboration with the Gulf Studies Center at Qatar University. The workshop featured leading international and regional experts, who explored the Russian invasion of Ukraine, its implications for the existing international order, and the diverse perspectives on this war held by different global actors. The conflict has instigated what can be termed a “multi-crisis,” exacerbating preexisting economic and political challenges. Notably, for a major resource supplier like Russia, this crisis is marked by unprecedented restrictions on global energy markets. Additionally, Ukraine, another key exporter and transit country for raw materials, has suffered as a direct casualty of the conflict. Consequently, there has been a substantial reconfiguration of global supply chains for both oil and other essential commodities. Furthermore, the conflict has led to the “weaponization” of the global economy and hydrocarbon trade. Both Russia and its adversaries in the sanctions conflict have begun employing economic measures against one another, undermining the principles of a liberal market—at least in the medium term. This policy brief outlines how the situation has prompted the international community to reassess the political risks associated with dependency on particular resource types.